Last updated: 12:54 PM, 9 February 2010 |
Jim Miller on Politics |
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Pseudo-Random ThoughtsEven The New York Times Is Catching On: The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change and its leader are in
trouble.
Just over two years ago, Rajendra K. Pachauri seemed destined for a scientist's version of sainthood: A vegetarian economist-engineer who leads the United Nations' climate change panel, he accepted the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize on behalf of the panel, sharing the honor with former Vice President Al Gore.The phrase "scientific sloppiness" is too mild, in my opinion (though it may meet standards at the New York Times). Critics have found that some of the evidence the IPCC has been using to make its case is wrong, and that some of their wilder assertions come from non-scientific sources. The accusations of conflicts of interest worry me less than the sloppiness. But I would say that Pachauri has not even tried to avoid those conflicts. (If you are wondering why the New York Times is so late to this party, read some of the posts by Andrew Revkin, who has been covering these issues for the Times. He long ago chose to be as much an advocate as a reporter, and set aside his reporter's skepticism when covering the IPCC.) - 12:54 PM, 9 February 2010
[link] NPR's Mark Memmott Finds It Hard To Believe That Some Of Us Miss President Bush:
But some of us do, and one person has even put up a
billboard
to say so.
(More here.) - 7:50 AM, 9 February 2010
[link] Will John Murtha's District Go Republican? Probably.
Presumably there will be a special election in Pennsylvania 12 to replace Murtha on May 18, which is primary day. This is the only district in the nation that voted for John Kerry in 2004 and John McCain in 2008. You might want to explain that as an affinity for Vietnam veterans. The better explanation is that it is part of the Jacksonian belt that starts in southwest Pennsylvania and extends along the Appalachians and southwestward to Tennessee and Texas—an area where Barack Obama ran very poorly in both the primaries and the general election in 2008. In any case, it voted only narrowly (51%-49%) for Kerry and favored McCain over Obama by an even narrower margin (49%-49%, a margin of 873 votes).(In 2000, Gore carried the district, 55-44, with a margin of 29,509 votes.) Michael Barone doesn't give odds, but I will. Right now, I would say that the odds favor the Republican candidate, by at least 3-2. - 7:07 AM, 9 February 2010
[link] Congratulations To The Danish Special Forces: For this successful
action against
Somali pirates.
Danish special forces yesterday stormed a ship captured by armed Somali pirates and freed the 25 crew on board, marking the first time a warship has intervened during a hijacking in the troubled area.(It wasn't the first time a warship has intervened there, but let's not quibble about details in the account.) The Danes didn't meet resistance, which is good, I suppose, but it's too bad that they didn't capture some of the pirates, who might have given us useful intelligence. - 1:51 PM, 8 February 2010
[link] We Aren't Worthy Of Obama: So says
Jacob Weisberg.
In trying to explain why our political paralysis seems to have gotten so much worse over the past year, analysts have rounded up a plausible collection of reasons including: President Obama's tactical missteps, the obstinacy of congressional Republicans, rising partisanship in Washington, the blustering idiocracy of the cable-news stations, and the Senate filibuster, which has devolved into a super-majority threshold for any important legislation. These are all large factors, to be sure, but that list neglects what may be the biggest culprit in our current predicament: the childishness, ignorance, and growing incoherence of the public at large.(Emphasis added.) I feel guilty already. Or I would feel guilty if I didn't remember that President Bush faced the same obstacles and an extraordinarily hostile press corps, and still managed to get things done. Years and years ago, I ran across a study of candidates which found that the winning candidates thought better of the voters than the losing candidates. No great surprise there, but it is amusing to see Weisberg, and so many others on the left, get this angry with the voters after the loss of Ted Kennedy's senate seat and Obama's legislative failures. (Incidentally, it is simply absurd to say that the problems Weisberg points out have gotten "so much worse over the past year". There is a simple explanation for our "political paralysis". As Jay Cost explains, Obama and Pelosi are trying to pass a leftwing agenda that does not have the support of a broad majority. The Constitution was designed to make large changes difficult without broad support, and is working as designed.) - 1:04 PM, 8 February 2010
[link] LED Lights Are Becoming Available: And, in time, they will be a better
solution than either incandescents or fluorescents.
Early adopter Anthony Watts installed some in his home, and is pleased with the result. His experience shows the kind of work switching to LED lights can require when they are replacing conventional recessed lights. (There are some LED lights that do not require new fixtures.) I'll be looking at LEDs in the future, as the prices come down and the performance improves, even though they do not save as much money for me as they do for most others. (My apartment has electric heat. Everything else being equal, I would rather heat it with lights in the winter, to dispel the Seattle area gloom, than with heaters.) One reason I will looking for LED alternatives is that I am somewhat less positive on compact fluorescents than I was when I first began using them. So far, I have not found any that are good for working with photos. The light output from them appears to decline as they age. And I have had two fail dramatically, probably leaking pollutants. In contrast, I've been quite pleased with the LED lantern that I bought for camping and emergencies. (I doubt that my model is still available, but it is not hard to find equivalent models; for example.) The light from mine is unnatural, but is quite usable for reading, even with my older eyes. - 11:05 AM, 8 February 2010
[link] Helen Thomas Attacks Obama: Yes, that Helen Thomas.
Still, a press corps that periodically complained about George W. Bush's infrequent news conferences should not let Obama walk away from the practice unchallenged. And some of its members have protested. [CBS White House correspondent Chip] Reid raised the issue with Gibbs at a briefing last month, and Hearst columnist Helen Thomas said the president has "gone an obscenely long time, not holding one."Obama last held a press conference in July, 2009. It is almost as if he is avoiding questions from a group that includes a few skeptical reporters. (Or, possibly, he is avoiding press conferences when they won't be on national TV, in prime time.) - 9:29 AM, 8 February 2010
[link] Great Green Police Ad: It's good to see this kind of warning about
how the Greens want to control every aspect of our lives.
But I don't know why they stuck that bit in about the car company. (It's a German car company. Were they, perhaps, referring to a certain unfortunate 20th century German regime, led by a vegetarian who was fond of the natural environment?) - 8:33 AM, 8 February 2010
[link] Charles Blow Forgets Independents: The party that wins the most
independents usually wins national elections. Is that idea too complicated?
It is for Charles Blow whose Saturday column never mentions independents. Calling the column an analysis would be giving it too much credit, since it does not have a coherent argument. Instead, Blow shows us that Democrats and Republicans have very different assessments of President Obama — no surprise there — and tells us that he thinks that Obama is now being more effective politically because he is appealing to — Charles Blow. But Blow never mentions independents in the column. (And I can see why not, since independents have moved sharply against Obama and the Democrats in three high-profile elections in Virginia, New Jersey, and Massachusetts.) Obama being a partisan Democrat will please people like Blow, but will alienate independents. (This mistake is extremely common among activists on both the the left and right, though Blow's version is exceptionally crude. It is easy to think that if our parties would only do what we want them to, they would win. Dick Morris, and any other election analyst worth his fees, can tell you that ain't necessarily so.) - 7:39 PM, 7 February 2010
[link] Someone At The Associated Press Doesn't Like Sarah Palin: If you doubt
that, take a look at the photograph they chose to illustrate
this article. Someone must have gone
to great lengths to find that picture, since Palin is, as we all know, an attractive woman, who
smiles frequently in public. Few pictures of her make her look bad or hostile, so the editor
who chose this one must have gone through many pictures to find one that did both.
(Do the people who make such choices at the AP realize that this makes them look silly? I suspect not; I suspect that they are so consumed by dislike for Palin that the photo looks right to them.) - 9:21 AM, 7 February 2010
[link] Some Dinosaurs Were Brightly Colored: For example,
Anchiornis huxleyi.
I am almost as impressed by the method they used, and their certainty that it works on dinosaurs in the same way it works on birds, as I am by this discovery. (An image search on the name shows that paleontologists are rather unimaginative.) - 3:23 PM, 5 February 2010
Much more from the National Geographic, including a fancy rotating image of the reconstructed dinosaur. (To me, Anchiornis huxleyi looks something like a fancy
roadrunner.)
- 3:20 PM, 7 February 2010
[link] Every Economist? Whenever Obama makes one of these wild claims, I worry
that he believes what he said.
President Obama veered off script — and away from the facts — when he spoke about the stimulus bill today in Nashua, NH.(Emphasis added.) Jake Tapper then lists some economists who do not agree with Obama. When a politician tells me something that absurd, I can explain it in two different ways; either they don't believe what they said and think I am a sucker, or they believe it, at least when they say it. I don't claim to know which explanation is right in this case. But I have seen so many of these absurdities from Obama that I am beginning to think that he doesn't care whether what he says is true, he just cares about the immediate effect it will have on his audience. But it is certainly possible that he believes what he said, and not just when he said it. And that kind of delusion is far more worrisome than a routine political lie. - 9:49 AM, 5 February 2010
[link] India Wants To Use The Best Science On Climate Issues: So, India
is establishing a Himalayan research institute and forming its own body to assess climate change
issues, instead of relying on the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Here's the gist of the announcements from environment minister Jairam Ramesh: He announced the Indian government will established a separate National Institute of Himalayan Glaciology to monitor the effects of climate change on the world's 'third ice cap', and an 'Indian IPCC' to use 'climate science' to assess the impact of global warming throughout the country.It is almost as if Ramesh doesn't trust the IPCC's science. And some of us think that the United States should consider following India's lead. (I think he's just being polite when he says that he respects the IPCC.) - 8:59 AM, 5 February 2010
[link] Worth Reading: Though you may have to go to a library to find these
two pieces. (Or subscribe to the Wall Street Journal.)
Ann Marlowe, a writer who "travels frequently to Afghanistan", says that we are "lurching toward defeat" in Afghanistan because our strategy is all wrong. I don't know enough about the situation there to endorse her views, but I found some of her critiques interesting. For instance, it does seem that she is right when she says that we should kill Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, not negotiate with him. Andy Kessler, the author of How We Got Here, says that we should solve our banking problems by gradually increasing reserve requirements, by, if you will, "de-leveraging" our banks. What he says makes sense to me. In fact, it is something I have long favored. - 8:27 AM, 5 February 2010
[link] No Jobs Bill? No problem. Majority Leader Reid is scheduling a vote on one anyway.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid announced this morning at a press conference that there will be a vote in the Senate on Monday on a "jobs bill." It would be a procedural vote to start debating the bill.A few people — most of them Republicans, no doubt — will wonder whether it might be better to hold hearings first, then write a bill, and then vote on it. But I doubt that Reid will pay much attention to such quibblers. - 6:28 AM, 5 February 2010
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