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The marginal likelihood for parameters in a discrete Gauss-Markov process

Abstract
We use Laplace's method to approximate the marginal likelihood for parameters in a Gauss-Markov process. This approximation requires the determinant of a matrix whose dimensions are equal to the number of state variables times the number of time points. We reduce this to sequential evaluation of determinants and inverses of smaller matrices. We show this is a numerically stable method.

Keywords
Adaptive Kalman filtering; Gauss Markov process; Symmetric block tri-diagonal

citation
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